Showing posts with label Me. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Me. Show all posts

Thursday, August 28, 2025

The SWP (and this blog) Goes AWOL

 

Intramuros, Manila, Philippines
(Source)

OK. I give up. On June 28th (my last post on this blog) I wrote--in entirety--as follows:

The Militant (published by the Socialist Workers Party) printed a brief summary of the annual Oberlin Conference held June 12th--14th. Billed as an "International Conference," the agenda reads more like a convention, including a "political report" presented by Jack Barnes.

I assume a longer account of the proceedings is forthcoming--I certainly hope so since the banner looks more interesting than usual. I will get to it, but I'm going to be in the Philippines for the next two weeks so there may be a delay. 

I did go to the Philippines (rather idealized stock photo above). I got back from the Philippines. I had a whole slew of medical appointments (that in the end determined that my cancer is now in remission! Hope it stays that way). I've endured treatments for non-cancer ailments that will accompany me on my slow march toward oblivion. I've read every copy of The Militant since, along with checking Left Voice almost daily, along with visits to other blogs on my beat. 

Jack Barnes at the podium
For all that, no "longer account of the proceedings" has come forth. It appears that Terry Evans and Steve Clark--even with indispensable aid from the ever-reliable John Studer--can manage in over two months to write a couple thousand words describing their "international conference." I'm tired of waiting.

They're either a bunch of lazy, incompetent bums, or something else is going on, or some combination of the above. Lazy and/or incompetent could arise from the advanced age of said authors. Comrade Clark could easily be incapacitated--he hasn't looked healthy in recent photos. I don't know how old Comrades Evans and Studer are, but they're surely both over 70. If I'm gonna blame health on my failure to produce a blog post, then surely the same problems must afflict those who are even older.

More consequential would be Comrade Barnes' decrepitude. Here Kremlinology skills come in handy--unfortunately mine don't rise to the challenge. But if Jack is sick, then the future of the whole enterprise is called into question. Jack has been "national secretary" (don't you just love the Stalinist terminology!) since 1972, or 53 years. I think that's at least 43 years too long.

"The graveyards are full of indispensable men" is what some French politician allegedly said, suggesting that nobody is indispensable. But for a small Party with a leadership so entrenched and dependent on the wisdom of one guy, then perhaps said Party can't survive the illness of its leader?

Alternative explanations are possible. Perhaps the Party never intended to write anything more. Why? On the one hand they teasingly claim that "2025 is not 2024!", yet on the other their brief recap is boringly predictable. They make three points:
  1. Capitalist rulers are building up their militaries.
  2. "Jew hatred and deepening imperialist rivalries."
  3. “Why the Fight for Women’s Emancipation Is Inseparable from the Class Struggle.”
It's what they don't mention that is noteworthy. Last year the talk of the town was the latest book, entitled The low point of labor resistance is behind us (my review here). It appears that the "low point" is making a comeback. The book is not mentioned at all in the short article.

The second unmentionable was the expression "women's emancipation," which did not occur in last year's report. Yes, they did mention women, but an explicit connection with the so-called "class struggle" was not made. The Party's position on women's issues has changed over the past few years, and it remains very unclear (see, eg, here and here). Perhaps some clarity is forthcoming?

Regards capitalists and their militaries, the brief account is ever so slightly more specific than last year, writing that "[c]apitalist rulers in the U.S. and elsewhere are building up their militaries and looking for allies as they fight to defend and expand their economic and political reach, pushing inexorably toward World War III." So what else is new? Capitalist and non-capitalist countries are always rebuilding their militaries. The Militant's observation is a truism, and does not auger World War III.

The current issue of The Militant sheds rather little light on the matter, except that the paper is declaring yet another week-long holiday next week, presumably to let our comrades recover from their laziness/incompetence and get their heads in gear long enough to produce an article. Or perhaps Comrade Jack is writing a new book!? Who knows.

Otherwise the issue is just boilerplate all over again:
  • The lead headline is about the 3-day long Air Canada strike. Here today and gone tomorrow.
  • The second headline is the evergreen ‘As crisis of capitalism grows, workers need to take power’. This is the hopelessly unrealistic demand that The Militant has put forth since its founding in 1928--in almost every issue.
  • The "Book of the Month" is a piece from the long forgotten leader of the Burkina Faso "revolution" (1983 - 1987) commemorating Che Guevara. Che--a murderous psychopath--had the good sense to get himself killed while he was still handsome enough to decorate dorm rooms. Both revolutions (Burkina Faso's and Cuba's) are/were miserable failures, with the Cubans now mostly living without electricity.
  • They still support open borders, championing a mass demonstration back in 2006.
They continue to get some things right. They understand that Hamas wants to kill all the Jews, in an article entitled Support Israel’s fight to stop a new Holocaust! Hamas must be defeated. Far from being "pro-Palestinian," Hamas is just pro-murder.

There's nothing new here. If 2025 really is different from 2024, then The Militant produces no evidence.

Further Reading:


Thursday, January 16, 2025

Havana, Boston

The Militant (published by the Socialist Workers Party, SWP) published two, backward-looking articles in its issue dated January 20. The first, by Sara Lobman, is a hopelessly sentimental account of the Cuban "Revolution." The lede paragraph sets the tone.

“Under the leadership of Fidel Castro, the Cuban people carried out a successful socialist revolution by uniting working people on the basis of a program that championed their own independent class interests,” Socialist Workers Party National Committee member RĂ³ger Calero told some 60 people at a special meeting here Jan. 5. The gathering was a celebration of the 66th anniversary of the Jan. 1, 1959, Cuban Revolution and to demand an immediate end to Washington’s decadeslong economic war aimed at crushing the Cuban people and overturning their revolution.

It stretches credulity to count the so-called "socialist revolution" as a success. Today's Cuba--which is fearlessly leading us into a post-electric future--is not only short on electric power, but now can no longer feed or house its population. There's even a water shortage, since without electricity the water pumps don't work. Presumably neither do the sewage treatment plants.

There is almost no transport on the island. Above is a satellite view of central Havana taken from Google Maps. It shows the four-lane Malecon merging into the seven-lane Tunel de la Habana. Amidst all those lanes, there are only three (3) vehicles in view! Clearly, Cuba does not have a traffic congestion problem.

The source of the problem--according to both the SWP and the Cuban government--is America's "decadeslong economic war aimed at crushing the Cuban people and overturning their revolution." Well, the Cuban people certainly are crushed--of that there is no doubt. But for what? Is the "Revolution" worth anything more than the silly propaganda posters displayed everywhere on the island? What has Cuba gained by earning the undying enmity of the USA? Nothing, so far as I can see. Indeed, the only people who perceived any benefit to the "Revolution" were the 60 people in attendance at the meeting upon which Ms. Lobman reports.

None of the other Trotskyist grouplets on my Beat even bother to talk about Cuba--likely because it's too embarrassing. They don't talk about Venezuela, either. They're not willing to tout the ox-cart as the latest in socialist transportation solutions.

Basically, socialism sucks. Forget about Cuba Libre. I'll settle for a Cuba with abundant food, clean running water, livable housing, and a bustling marketplace in the city center. If that means cozying up to the USA, then so be it.

The second article, by Susan Lamont, is a peon to the good ol' days, entitled ‘Battle of Boston’ 50 years ago helped change US class struggle. I remember it well, for this was my swansong as I was well on my way out of the Movement by that then.

The event surrounded a rather bitter fight to desegregate Boston's public schools. The premise was that Black children would learn more if they sat next to white children. That was always implausible because the white children--or at least their parents--were adamantly against any Black kids in their schools. There were more or less violent protests as the occasionally racist, white parents objected to the destruction of what had hitherto been their neighborhood school.

The upshot relevant to me was an effort to form a national movement in favor of school bussing--called the National Student Coalition Against Racism, or NSCAR. The premise was ludicrous: 

1) Pretty much everybody is against racism, which made it unclear who are opponents were to be. Indeed, the only opposition we confronted were working class parents in a white neighborhood who wanted to preserve their neighborhood school.

2) The Black kids weren't keen on being bussed long distances to schools where they obviously weren't welcome.

3) The issue was mostly about Boston geography, and didn't catch on as a national crusade.

So NSCAR had exactly one meeting, and somehow I got shanghaied into driving my car with a load of comrades to attend the meeting. And I did do that--on the first day. It was extraordinarily, excruciatingly, unendingly boring. They'd rented an auditorium seating about 500 people, of which perhaps 150 seats were taken. Most attendees were comrades, but there were a few ultraleft sectarians mixed in (I think Workers' League). The only interesting moments were the rare instances when one of the sectarians got to speak--at least that wasn't completely predictable. I doubt there were more than 20 "independents" in the whole crowd.

Needless to say, it was the first, last, and only NSCAR meeting ever held--long forgotten until Ms. Lamont chose to resurrect it in this article.

Fortunately for me, I met a fellow comrade from another city who was as bored with the proceedings as I was. And since we were more interested in exploring Boston than sitting thru another day of BS, we arranged for digs as far from the conference site as we dared go, and then spent the next morning and into the afternoon exploring Boston. It's a glorious city and I'm so glad we did that!

So around 3pm we sheepishly showed up at the conference site, hoping to escape unnoticed. Didn't happen, because as soon as we walked in a prominent comrade--no longer in the Movement, but a man of some accomplishment--confronted us and asked what happened. We confessed, but didn't apologize. We got the side eye expression of disapproval--but then nothing. We didn't get reported to any higher-ups or subjected to any further discipline.

It was my first time as a comrade where I behaved "irresponsibly." I learned my lesson--and vowed never to be "responsible" again. I spent another year as a nominal, inactive member, and then dropped out completely. My fellow comrade behaved similarly.

Bussing has long since died. The effort was very disruptive and seriously damaged the public schools. It was also completely unnecessary. I asked ChatGPT:

How do the demographics of Boston Public Schools compare with the school age population of Boston as a whole?

It answered (excerpt only):

The racial composition of Boston Public Schools (BPS) differs notably from that of Boston's overall school-age population.

Boston Public Schools (BPS) Demographics (2023):

Hispanic/Latino: 44% 

Black or African American: 28%

Asian: 9%

White: 15%

Other/Multi-Racial: 4%

Boston's School-Age Population Demographics (2018-2019):

Black: 45%

White: 24%

Hispanic: 19%

Asian: 3%

Other: 9% 

I disagree with ChatGPT. Apart from a significant discrepancy among Hispanics, it doesn't seem like BPS demographics are way out of whack. Please tell me what problem here will be solved by bussing?

Further Reading:

Wednesday, November 29, 2023

The SWIP Flips to SWOP

Totally relevant picture about abortion (Source)

Insert any vowel into the acronym SWP (Socialist Workers Party, which publishes The Militant) and you end up with nonsense.

Random vowel insertion is the effect of this article, by Jacquie Henderson, entitled Ohio abortion referendum was blow to women, working class. I understand that the Party doesn't consider itself Trotskyist anymore (though they still frequently quote Trotsky), but this leaves that heritage so far in the dust that it's a real head-scratcher.

The lede paragraph:

After a national campaign organized by the Democratic Party, drawing in tens of millions of dollars, an amendment to enshrine the right to abortion in Ohio’s state constitution passed Nov. 7. The campaign had nothing to do with the fight for women’s rights — including the decriminalization of abortion — nor defending working-class interests.

Some background is important. The Party supported the Dobbs decision--in which the Supreme Court overturned abortion rights as a Constitutional issue, and instead referred the question back to the states and the people. This has been a political godsend for the Democrats, who have campaigned heavily on the so-called MAGA effort to ban abortion. The Dobbs decision led to no such outcome, and in fact abortion rights will soon be enshrined in law in all 50 states--it's that popular.

I can sort of see the Trotskyist logic in supporting Dobbs. They have long supported democratic rights, and therefore the Constitutional and civil rights of citizens. Abortion isn't even mentioned in the Constitution, and therefore neither the Court nor the Congress have any authority to legislate on the subject at all. Decisions about abortion should be left to the states and the people.

The Party, in their recent Political Report, which I reviewed here, in language I described as "mealy-mouthed," argued that abortion should be "decriminalized (whatever that means). "Mealy-mouthed" turns out to be an understatement. The offending paragraph in the Political Report quoted in my review is

...our communist program has nothing in common with bourgeois and middle-class forces--whether feminists, or campaigners for population control--who in fact advocate abortion as a means of contraception. We reject the pseudoscientific views of those who deny that the issue of human life, a profound moral question for all working people, is always involved in abortion decisions and procedures.

I don't think I understood what that paragraph meant. It's clarified in Ms. Henderson's article here:

The yes campaign was openly tied to getting President Joseph Biden reelected in 2024. After the vote, Biden declared, “Ohioans and voters across the country rejected attempts by MAGA Republican elected officials to impose extreme abortion bans.” He added, “The only reason abortion is banned in America is because of Donald Trump!”

In other words, the Party's position has nothing to do with abortion at all. They are simply against anything the Democrats are for--full stop. If the Dems were against abortion, they'd be for it. The problem with the Ohio referendum was not that it expanded abortion rights, but rather that it was supported by a bunch of evil, petty bourgeois Democrats--in an effort to get Biden reelected.

I agree with their assessment of the Democrat party. But setting oneself up as the "anti-Democrat" party seems to me just as illogical as Jeff "Vanguard Man" Mackler setting himself up as the anti-Trump party. It let's your opponent--be it Trump or Democrats--determine your entire political program.

I think the Party should have ignored the Ohio referendum altogether. The effect is ultimately inconsequential. As I recall, the Republicans had settled on a 15 week deadline for abortion. The referendum went for 22 weeks. According to the CDC, 93.5% of all abortions were performed by or before the 13th week. Fewer than 1% of abortions were performed at or after 21 weeks. I don't have numbers for 15 weeks, but it's likely over 95% of abortions occur before that deadline, and those that happen afterwards are almost certainly for compelling medical reasons, and not for the trivial excuses used earlier in the pregnancy. Abortion for compelling medical reasons will be allowed in any case.

The Party argues that enshrining the law as a state constitutional amendment will make it harder to overturn later, making it more difficult for "workers" to change their minds. This was the argument of the Pro-Life community. Though the Party takes this to unreasonable extremes. From Ms. Henderson's article:

The answer to inflation and growing pressures on families is not more abortions, as many Democrats argue. This is a woman’s medical decision. Workers should reject the push to use abortion as a means of contraception. At issue with abortion is a potential human being. Abortion should be a fallback, something that is needed when all else fails.

“This year workers have learned more about how to fight for better conditions, from striking autoworkers, casino workers, bakery and other unionists,” Hawkins said.

The SWP points to the powerful example set by the leadership of Cuba’s socialist revolution.

Fidel Castro led working people to conquer power. Millions of women participated in the defense and advance of the revolution, breaking down barriers to full involvement in economic, social and political life. The revolutionary government organized child care, school and workplace lunch and after-school programs to help overcome the inequality women face. Along the way they decriminalized abortion.

In other words, because Americans are supposedly getting poorer (worse housing, worse food, worse medical care) we don't need more abortion--but instead we need to imitate Cuba. Cuba--where housing, food, and health care a vastly more available than in the USA. Really?

The SWOP is a FLOP. 

Allow me a personal reminiscence here.

When I was 18 years old I returned to my hometown after living 18 months in Germany. A girl I knew from high school before I left invited me over to her house for milk and cookies--and the complete recording of Jesus Christ Superstar on the stereo set. She had her whole life planned out--and wanted me to be a part of it. She wanted to get married and have five children. And Jesus Christ Superstar was by far the best piece of music ever written. I didn't mention that I was a sworn atheist, and that my stay in Germany (frequent trips to the old East Berlin notwithstanding) had turned me into a committed Communist. Besides, I was way too shy to make the requisite phone call necessary to cash in on her offer, so nothing ever came of it.

In recent years I've come to reconsider that road not taken. I certainly wouldn't have joined the Socialist Workers Party. I probably would never have attended college. There is no way I'd have spent a year with my family living in Uganda. I wouldn't have married my current wife--who gave me two children and now two grandchildren--who is from the Philippines. I have a whole country-in-law, which has added a richness to my life that I think I would miss.

But just suppose--if I'd had five children beginning at age 20. It would have been a hardscrabble, difficult life--supporting five children without a college degree. No fun at all. But by now I'd possibly have a dozen grandchildren. Not just two. And lots of kids would take care of me in my old age--not just my daughter. Of course this assumes the marriage endured for what now would be 52 years.

There's nothing wrong with that life. But it would have taken courage and commitment that I didn't have at age 18. After all, I couldn't even make the phone call.

The SWP is at least pro-natalist. Which, considering that the average, elderly Trotskyist has zero grandchildren, is amazing. Most people with no grandchildren are envious of folks like me--and it's that envy that drives the whole feminist/LGBTQIA+ movement. But the SWP has somehow risen above that--and for that they deserve praise and admiration.

Further Reading:


 

 

Tuesday, April 12, 2022

What's Happened Since I've Been Gone

I guess I need to explain my absence. My cancer came back and I've spent the last four months undergoing chemotherapy. The first few weeks were truly debilitating and I couldn't have blogged even if I wanted to. But after that--I just didn't want to. I was getting bored with my own posts. So with chemo as the excuse I took a break from blogging.

The good news is that the chemo worked--I am now in complete remission. In celebration my wife and I will be taking a vacation, including 12 days on a Caribbean cruise. I've never done that before--it's definitely an old man's holiday. So regular blogging won't resume until early May when we get home, but I'm chomping at the bit to get started again.

I've been gratified to see that even in the absence of new material, this blog has attracted 20 - 30 legit hits per day--pretty good for an amateur covering a very niche topic.

So if I've been sick, then my friends over at Socialist Action (SA) have been going stir-crazy. They managed to post exactly one (1) article during the month of March. I sure am glad I haven't paid for a subscription to the print newspaper--it must be mostly blank pages by now.

The reason for the silence is obvious. SA is unapologetically pro-Putin. To summarize their position in my own words, while they acknowledge that Russia is a capitalist/imperialist state, the country is nevertheless an objective force for progress because it necessarily must oppose the much stronger American imperialism. The real cause of the Ukraine war, in this view, is not anything that Putin or the Ukrainian people have done, but instead it's entirely the fault of "US imperialism"--that largely mythical boogeyman upon which all evil can be blamed.

On April 11th SA's chief honcho and failed presidential candidate Jeff Mackler finally posted a long article explaining at great length the position I've just described. The supposed sins of the USA are catalogued in detail. For example:

  • Ukraine is dominated by US-funded fascists, such as the Azov Battalion.
  • Fascist snipers shot 100 innocent civilian on Maidan Square in 2014.
  • Fascists overthrew the duly elected president, Viktor Yanukovych--forcing him to flee to Russia.
  • The US installed (somehow, mysteriously) the fascist prime minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk. 
And so on. He cites no references for any of this--neither as links nor in a bibliography. His only source for the fascist snipers are unspecified remarks by Victoria Nuland--he provides neither the date nor venue for her speech. It's impossible to track this down. His only other source is a booklet authored by--Jeff Mackler--of all people.

In other words, Mr. Mackler just makes stuff up. You can't believe a word he says.

SA's call to action is to demonstrate against the US government for forcing Putin to invade Ukraine--as summarized by their key demand: US Out Now! Hands off Ukraine! Needless to say this is crazy-talk, and will attract no support from anybody on the American political spectrum.

One last thing: I can't let Mr. Mackler's antisemitism go unchecked. The fact that current president Volodymyr Zelenskyy is Jewish apparently sticks in his craw. The only mention of the man's name is this: "We note with contempt Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky’s recently-proclaimed affinity for Zionist Israel’s model of a militarized state aimed at the subjugation of oppressed people."

If Mr. Mackler is nutty, then our comrades in Solidarity are perfectly sane. A long editorial, dated March 2nd, is posted by the "National Committee." The piece is well worth reading, and I recommend you do so. 

I think the article is mostly correct. They unambiguously condemn Russia for the invasion and are not making excuses for Putin. But at the same time they write:
NATO’s expansion into post-Soviet Eastern Europe, up to Russia’s borders, was all the more dangerous because it was not only a power grab, but also ideologically driven by the U.S. establishment’s assumption, after the Soviet Union’s collapse and the crushing U.S. victory over Iraq in the 1990-91 Kuwait war, that its rule was uncontested. It violated assurances that U.S. diplomats at the highest level had made to Soviet leader Gorbachev, and was already called by George Kennan in the 1990s a “tragic mistake” that Russia ultimately would never accept.
This is absolutely correct. NATO should never have expanded east of the Oder/Neisse line (today Germany's eastern border). The extension into eastern Europe has to be seen by Russia as a threat. The Biden administration's biggest mistake was to insist that Ukraine have a hypothetical right to join NATO. Indeed, I think that was the proximate cause of the war to begin with.

Unlike Solidarity, I do not believe NATO should be abolished--I do think it needs to retreat from Russia's borders. The editorial also states that "...NATO and particularly U.S. imperialism are at least equally aggressive and as dangerous as Russian annexationism." I do not agree with the adjective equally here--Putin is by far most at fault.

Contra Jeff Mackler, they write:

It is painful to see how much of the U.S. peace movement swallowed the simplistic story that the events of 2014 in Ukraine, when a spectacularly corrupt pro-Russian government was deposed under pressure of a mass movement (over whether to join a European trade bloc or a Russian-led Eurasian one), were a “fascist coup” and a “genocide” of Russian-speaking regions.

In these claims, some kernels of reality are wrapped inside layers of twisted falsehoods that could (and do) come straight from the Kremlin – as if, for example, violent ultra-nationalist forces, which do exist in Ukraine, are more powerful there than they are in Russia!

I couldn't have put it better myself!

On a completely different topic, news comes that Socialist Resurgence (SR) will unite with a grouplet called Workers' Voice (WV), with the new group adopting that latter name. They write:

We are in agreement about the necessity for principled regroupment of revolutionary groups. The two groups carried out common discussions and practical work for two years and have come to a shared perspective on the fundamental situation facing the working class and oppressed today. On this basis, a congress was held on March 19-20, 2022, in which WV and SR voted to merge as Workers’ Voice. Our congress included observers from the International Workers League, Revolutionary Socialist Organizing Project, Tempest Collective, Corriente Obrera, and affiliates of the Revolutionary Socialist Network. 

As a fused organization, Workers’ Voice brings together two historic traditions of world Trotskyism into a common revolutionary party.

The "two historic divisions" represent two versions of the Fourth International (FI): that of the United Secretariat, which purports to be the original FI, and the International Workers' League-Fourth International  (IWL-FI), which claims a mission to "reconstruct" the original FI. (A more useless mission is hard to imagine.)

The Workers' League existed back in my day (1970s), then led by a fellow named Tim Wohlforth. In a play on his name, our derogatory name for them was the Woolies. I did not know them well--there weren't many Woolies in the cities where I lived. I say more about this in one of my earliest posts, here.

The IWL-FI writes a history of their movement--it reads like an endlessly tedious soap opera. I couldn't make much sense of it. Mr. Wohlforth is not mentioned at all--I think he was forced out in disgrace. More useful than the text itself are the footnotes. They're explanatory and can be read independently--and serve as a useful summary.

I've since googled around and discovered that Mr. Wohlforth died in 2019 at age 86. He spent the last decade of his life in Ashland, OR, where he was a member of the Society of Friends Meeting--a tradition he picked up from his childhood. He wrote mystery novels (with some success) and mentored others in that craft. Here is his obituary, and here is a reminiscence. Neither mentions his Workers' League years, but his Wikipedia page does. He is survived by a wife, a son, two grandchildren, and many friends. In other words, he was a successful and accomplished man.

I do wish the new Workers' Voice success. Certainly not in making a world revolution--heaven forbid--but in producing an interesting and useful web page from which I may learn something, and from which I can draw inspiration.

Further Reading:


Saturday, May 29, 2021

Has the SWP Moved Right? Or the Republicans Left?

(SWP refers to the Socialist Workers Party, aka "the Party," which publishes The Militant newspaper.)

In a comment thread to the recent post entitled News From the SWP, reader JohnB asks a question. (The entire thread is worth your attention.)

By the way, Dan, a while back you took exception to my assertion that the SWP is moving to the right:

https://trotskyschildren.blogspot.com/2017/08/is-swp-moving-right.html

Have you changed your mind now?

The short answer is No I have not. Indeed, I've gone back and reread my old posts on the topic (here, here, here and here), and I still agree with all of them. Those span a stretch from November, 2019, all the way back to December, 2013. So my opinions about the direction of the SWP have remained remarkably constant. (I surprise even myself. Usually I find my old posts to be somewhat cringeworthy--but not these.)

Beginning in 1975, the Party instituted the Turn, which was a serious effort to get comrades into the unionized, industrial labor force. Ex-SWPers mostly dismiss the effort as ridiculous. Far from building the Party, membership dropped from about 3000 in the early 70s, to perhaps less than a hundred today. The Turn gradually fizzled out beginning in the late 90s as comrades left the movement, and as the remaining members aged into retirement. It never succeeded in recruiting new members.  My review describes the Turn and its consequences succinctly.

While the Turn failed at its intended purpose, it had other consequences. It did drive a lot of people out of the movement--likely including me (though I wasn't really aware of it at the time). The emphasis on being a union member in an industrial fraction never appealed to those of us attending college. I never imagined myself working in a steel mill--I wouldn't have been any good at that.

The Turn's biggest mistake was to move comrades around from city to city--like traveling preachers. This made it impossible for them to establish serious, personal connections with the people they were trying to reach. It prevented comrades from ever developing a career--not even a blue collar career. Not for them was any investment in personal skills or talents. They strove toward the Marxist ideal of a proletarian worker--nothing to lose, not even chains, with only cheap and brute labor for sale.

I felt sorry for my former comrades, because if you never develop a career, and never put down any roots in any one place, and likely never start a family, and more, contribute any extra money you earn to Jack Barnes the Party, then you're in for a tedious, lonely life and an impoverished retirement. They're like Franciscan friars who take vows of obedience and poverty--and lead itinerant, childless lives.

No wonder our now elderly comrades are still working at Walmart or driving Uber cars. They need the money.

But in one respect the Turn was spectacularly successful. One goal was to "proletarianize" the Party--and this has undoubtedly been accomplished. The college-educated sorts, teachers, welfare caseworkers, college professors, grad students--the lumpen intelligentsia all--have been ruthlessly purged. What's left are the blue-collar sorts.

Is it any surprise that they'd thrill to Trump's blue collar appeal? Of course they do.

Now consider the Republican Party, which prior to 1980 was known as the home of the bourgeoisie--the Boston brahmins, the Upper East Side's brownstone denizens, the folks who hang out in Hollywood or Beverly Hills. Their presidents were Eisenhower and Nixon. Then Reagan came along and worked to extend the GOP's reach into the middle class. He didn't talk Ivy League--but was instead an Illinois farm boy, the son of an alcoholic.

The GOP subsequently partially walked back the Reagan Revolution, reestablishing its upper crust credentials during the Bush years--both of whom were Ivy League grads. Bush 1 promised no new taxes--only to renege in obedience to the wealthy. The rich don't mind paying taxes because they can always pass the cost on to the middle and lower classes. It's the middle class that mostly ends up with the bill--and they knew it. That was the end of Reagan's coalition--the blue collars returned to the Democrats.

Obama's relentless efforts to impoverish middle- and working class America spawned the Tea Party rebellion, leading to the Republican sweep of Congress in 2010. For obvious reasons, blue-collar America depends on a literal interpretation of the Constitution for their well-being. For without Constitutional limits on government they become slaves of the Federal bureaucracy--reduced to being wards of the state. To use The Militant's phrase, they become a population to be "administered."

On the other hand, they don't object when the government gives them free money. Of course, the money is never "free." It always comes with strings attached, usually losing your freedom. It is this contradiction--between "don't tread on me" and "give it to me for free" that eventually leads to Trump.

Gone was the longtime GOP fixation on balanced budgets. The party-poopers who worried about the solvency of social security were exiled to the wilderness. Obamacare was fine after the individual mandate was repealed--then it became just another free lunch. A few old-fashioned Republicans now complain about Biden's stimulus--though it is nearly certain that Trump would've done the same thing.

So I think it's a myth that Trump moved the GOP to the right. On the contrary, he expanded government in ways tailored to help his blue-collar base--and at the same time he dissed the pinheads who wanted to "administer" them. Many government posts were left vacant, the universities were defunded, and self-righteous international institutions were appropriately disrespected.

The Dems, by now the party of the lumpen intelligentsia (along with the traditional lumpen proletariat), hated that. How could he! That very hatred thrilled the working class all the more, and along with it Trump's popularity.

The SWP is moved by the same emotions that power the working class. In this respect they differ dramatically from the other grouplets and bloggers on my Beat--all of whom speak for the lumpen intelligentsia.

The SWP and blue-collar America have something else in common--they're old. Old people realize that the world needs boundaries--for without boundaries society simply can't function. In the simple case, a boundary means a literal border wall--as Trump put it "a country without borders isn't a country." It means that sex roles remain reasonably well-defined--one can't switch genders just by putting on a dress. It means that the language of political conversation is English--not Spanish, Chinese, or Tagalog.

It means a balancing act in the right to free speech. Yes, that right is nearly absolute. But the "right" to get a paycheck from a state university is reasonably a lot more restrictive. Professors need to believe at some level in the American civic religion--for if they don't constructive conversation becomes impossible. For this reason, we don't hire KKK members as college professors, no matter how smart or creative they are. Likewise, membership in BLM should disqualify, and for the same reason.

Nikole Hannah-Jones was recently denied tenure at the University of North Carolina. She should never have been hired in the first place.

The SWP sort of understands that. They disdain the fluid model of gender roles championed by the lumpen intelligentsia. They're attitude on race relations is at least sane, unlike that now popular on college campuses. They acknowledge that Jews and Arabs somehow have to live together in Israel/Palestine.

True to its masthead, The Militant is "published in the interests of working people," however inconsistent that may sometimes be.

Further Reading:

Tuesday, January 5, 2021

Book Review: The Future of Higher Education

Because the topic is so close to my heart, this post is very long.

The book, Sustainable, Resilient, Free: The Future of Higher Education,  by John Warner, is a joy to read. Mr. Warner, an untenured affiliate professor of English at the College of Charleston, can definitely practice what he teaches--he knows how to write. Whatever else you think about this book, you won't be bored.

I thank Mr. Warner for agreeing to send me a review copy. His generosity is not the important part, but rather the attitude his gift implies. For he knows that I will be critical of his thesis (as indeed I am), yet still thought I should read it. I call this charity in the sense that Abraham Lincoln meant it: with malice toward none, with charity for all. 

That is, I doubt Mr. Warner expects me to agree with him, but perhaps he does hope that I will understand him. It's not that we should bury our differences in some kumbaya moment--our disagreements are too profound for that. It's likely there will never be a meeting of the minds. But if we can understand each other, give credit to each other for acting in good faith, and engage in civil discourse--then surely the world is a better place and our democracy that much stronger. (This blog is founded on the principle of civil discourse.)

Right-wing though I may be, I can't stand Sean Hannity and Laura Ingraham--or Rachel Maddow and much of the PBS News Hour. Those are all propaganda shows, and I have no use for propaganda.

Mr. Warner's book is not propaganda, but he does fall down a bit in the charity department. In the first chapter he calls Republicans "evil", and accuses us of "sabotage." Mocking Betsy DeVos is given as an example of how "someone has benefited from their college education." This is not charitable language, and fortunately it's not typical of the book as a whole.

The major thesis of the book is that nearly all public higher education expenses should be borne by the federal government, and no tuition should be paid by students. There are at least two problems with this:

  1. The federal government is (by definition) a political animal, and with every change in administration the goals set for higher ed will change. Remember that Republicans will be in power approximately half the time--for every Arne Duncan there will follow a Betsy DeVos. Is putting all your eggs in that one basket really a sustainable way to run higher ed? Probably not.
  2. As Mr. Warner repeatedly points out, students need to be in charge of their own education. That means at very least they must have a right to exit--that is, when they leave they can take their money with them. If they put no money on the table, they ultimately lose any authority to change anything. They will always be at the mercy of Betsy and Arne in the Education Department.
Case in point: the feds already allocate substantial funds to higher ed (both public and private) and use the accruing authority to regulate students' romantic relationships down to the most intimate details. There is a case for colleges acting in loco parentis, but to defer this responsibility to Betsy and Arne strikes me as a path toward totalitarianism. The solution is to reduce federal investment in higher ed, and thereby minimize their power.

Germany is a cautionary tale. German universities are tuition-free (and prior to 2014 they charged only nominal tuition)--and they're terrible. It takes the typical student nearly a decade to complete their education, the classrooms are massively overcrowded, grades are assigned exclusively by final exams, and the faculty are completely unaccountable to anybody (they can't even be fired for financial exigency). Entrance criteria rely overwhelmingly on a nationwide test, and admitted students are assigned by the government to any university in the country. Is this the model Mr. Warner wishes to emulate?

Another wonderful example of "free education" is K-12 in this country, where, apart from a few charter schools, students have lost the right to exit. It's a complete disaster. Indeed, the more money spent per student, the worse it gets. Why does Mr. Warner think federalizing higher ed will somehow have a different outcome?

According to Statista, in 2017 the US spent 2.6% of GDP on higher education, second on a list of 42 countries (including, I believe, all OECD countries) behind only Chile (2.7%). (The complete list is behind a registration wall.) Of that fraction, 1.7% of GDP was spent at private institutions (I suspect largely on their research mission), while 0.9% was spent at public institutions. By comparison, Germany spent a mere 0.2% on private schools, but 1% on public schools.

Perhaps Mr. Warner can tell us: What fraction of GDP is optimally spent on higher education? Who should make that decision? And who is going to be accountable for the results? His book doesn't say. I think students should have a significant voice in these decisions, and that means they have to put money on the table and be able to vote with their feet.

Mr. Warner's major complaint about the current system is it forces colleges to compete against each other. In his opinion this is bad--and he does have a point. On first pass, competition reduces to simple-minded comparisons, such as the execrable US News and World Report rankings--that are apropos nothing in particular. But that's only on first pass--anybody who's serious about going to college will be looking under the hood. Think about the campus tours, the open houses, the relentless efforts of admissions offices to generate people to fill the seats. None of that would happen if students weren't concerned about more than magazine ratings.

Here's some news for you, Mr. Warner: prospective students know more about your college than either Mr. Duncan or Ms. DeVos. Please let students decide where to spend their money and time--not some corruptocrat up in Washington. It's the job of your institution--from the admissions office on down--to provide them with as much information as possible. And precisely because they are paying you, it is also your responsibility to live up to whatever promises you make to them. Your advertising can't be bullshit.

Which means Mr. Warner presents a false dichotomy. He quotes Carol Christ, chancellor at UC Berkeley: 
Colleges and universities are fundamentally in the business of enrolling students for tuition dollars.
And of course that's true, but it's only half the truth. For in order to enroll students, the institution must deliver a good product--otherwise no students will enroll. Without money one can't provide a good education, and without providing a good education, one can't possibly earn the money. Does Mr. Warner work for his paycheck? Or does the paycheck enable him to do his work? The answer is both--so when he claims that competition detracts from the goal of a good education, he's just plain wrong. It's possible--indeed, essential--to do good teaching and earn tuition dollars at the same time.

Mr. Warner's plan will require only a minor modification to Ms. Christ's statement:
Colleges and universities are fundamentally in the business of enrolling students for tax dollars.

In other words, students will lose their vote. 

Mr. Warner rightly notes that the magazine rankings are a zero-sum game--for every college that moves up a notch, another must move down. It is then ironic that he champions social mobility as a goal for higher education. He writes
Data compiled by Harvard economist Raj Chetty shows that colleges are largely stratified by socioeconomic class in terms of students they admit. Only a few institutions in the country achieve a high "mobility rate," moving students from the bottom 40 percent of income to the top 40 percent.

And perhaps it's good--to move students into the top 40%. But of course it is mathematically impossible to move 80% of students into the top 40%--by definition only 40% of students can be in the top 40%. That means that for every student that moves up, another must move down. So just like the magazine rankings, social mobility is a zero-sum game. It is ironic that Mr. Warner is imposing on students precisely the zero-sum game from which he wants to hold colleges exempt.

Who are these downwardly mobile? Consider the seven rich kids--white, college graduates, well-travelled, progeny of upper-middle-class parents, ranging in age from 20 to 30--who are members of the New Afrikan Black Panther Party [transgressive "k" in original] and got themselves arrested for rioting and smashing store windows during the recent "George Floyd" protests.

Why did they do that? I don't know, but here's an educated guess: elite educations and wealthy parents notwithstanding, these folks have only menial and/or low wage jobs to look forward to. Their futures look bleak, an upper-middle-class lifestyle is increasingly out of reach. In other words, college didn't prepare them for anything--they're on the downhill slide, and they know it. Of course they're pissed.

Social mobility is great for the folks moving up, and traumatic for those on the other side. There is no net benefit to society as a whole. Increasing social mobility should not be a goal for either the government or the university, and it is no reason to federalize higher education.

Unlike social status, wealth is not a zero-sum game. A rising economic tide lifts all boats--rich and poor alike. The goal is to lift the boat, not merely to rearrange the deck chairs. Taking money from the rich and giving to the poor works only if it also grows the size of the pie. In most real cases, however, it actually shrinks the pie and on average makes everybody poorer. For example, forgiving student loans will have precisely that effect: it is a benefit to rich people attending medical school, paid for mostly by people who never went to college. The primary beneficiaries will be unproductive rent collectors, namely the med school cartel.

Speaking of rent collecting, tenure is a lifelong pass to collect rents paid for by 19 year-olds. By "rent," I mean an income stream that depends only on a person's position or status, and not on their labor or ability. (Rent in the real estate sense doesn't mean the same thing.) A bribe paid to a bureaucrat is a form of rent. Licensing enables rent collection--people with licenses can charge extra for their services despite not doing any more work than people without licenses. (Milton Friedman argued convincingly that all occupational licenses should be abolished except for nurses.)

Rents are a dead-weight loss to the economy--and certainly that's true for tenured professors. "I just got tenure" is a synonym for "screw students."

Contingent faculty receive no rents, and therefore are likely paid at the market rate. Mr. Warner has a long chapter explaining how he wants to lower salaries for tenured faculty (i.e., deprive them of their rent), and raise the salaries of adjuncts. The former is not likely (no way are the tenured gonna give up their rents), and the latter is not desirable. What Mr. Warner is really suggesting is that adjuncts should also be entitled to rents.

Suppose adjuncts are paid at the market rate. Then the reason salaries are so low for contingent English faculty is because of competition from the gazillion English PhDs out there looking for any kind of professional employment. The benefit to students is maximized when as many of them are hired as possible--and the market rate does that. Paying below market will cause fewer adjuncts to seek positions, harming students. Paying above market will, because of financial constraints, reduce the number of adjuncts that colleges can afford. So the market rate maximizes the number of adjuncts--which is certainly good for students, and probably on net best for adjuncts as well. Mr. Warner's rent collection scheme means there will be more unemployed English PhDs--imagine the misery of those folks as they glide down the status escalator.

What is the purpose of going to college? According to Mr. Warner, it is most importantly a certain je ne sais quoi--an ill-defined, vaguely religious mission of self-discovery and enlightenment, the value of which will only become apparent years after completion. This, along with "critical thinking skills" (whatever those are--don't get me started) is what justifies taxpayer support for higher education.

I think if you ask students why they go to college, you'll likely get some list like this: career preparation, finding a spouse, partying, making life-long friends, having sex, discovering new things, getting drunk, playing sports, joining a fraternity/sorority, smoking weed...  Those are mostly good reasons, though few of them have much to do with academics. I don't know what on that list maps onto Mr. Warner's je ne sais quoi, nor do I see anything that justifies a huge government subsidy--except maybe it gets the kids off the street for a few years.

For adults returning to school, the list shrinks almost exclusively to career preparation.

Mr. Warner makes two implicit assumptions that I think are incorrect. First, he seems to believe that there is a shortage of educational opportunity in this country. I strongly disagree. In my view we are already hugely over-invested in higher ed, much of what we spend on it is wasted, and the economy will do better if we redirect resources elsewhere. The last thing this country needs is more seat-time in college classrooms.

We're really scraping the bottom of the barrel. Mr. Warner writes about a survey conducted during the pandemic disruption, which found that
44 percent of two-year college students and 38 percent of four-year college students experienced food insecurity. Eleven percent of two-year students and 15 percent of four-year students lacked a stable place to live.

Admittedly, the pandemic is an extraordinary time which has greatly exacerbated these statistics--and perhaps some short term response is in order. But even before the pandemic, SUNY campuses (my employer before I retired) had made food pantries and housing solutions a priority.

I'm not against feeding the hungry or housing the homeless, but this is NOT a responsibility for higher ed. Our job is to educate all qualified students--qualified being a term Mr. Warner uses. Somebody whose life is in such disarray as to be homeless and/or hungry has urgent problems that preclude them from being qualified. By enrolling them, colleges are artificially inflating their enrollments and therefore receiving more subsidies--it's a grossly unethical tax-grab.

Mr. Warner writes that 

Another reason why elite private institutions are irrelevant in terms of reshaping the higher education ecosystem as an engine for broad-based prosperity is that these schools overwhelmingly serve students who are already prosperous. The Raj Chetty data on economic mobility reveals that the median annual family income for students at Ivy League institutions is between $150,000 and $200,000. Two thirds of their students come from the top 20 percent in terms of income. While graduates of Ivy League colleges who started in the bottom 20 percent income bracket have a better than even chance of moving up to the top 20 percent bracket, fewer than 4  percent of Ivy League students come from the bottom 20 percent to begin with.

This means that fewer than 900 individuals per year are put on track to move from the bottom to the top of the income ladder by graduating from an Ivy League institution. 

Elite colleges (including the Ivy League) may not be leaders in social mobility, but they definitely excel in overall wealth creation. Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg, the Google Guys, and many more attended elite schools. Eight of the nine sitting supreme court justices attended law school at either Harvard or Yale--Amy Coney Barrett (Notre Dame) being the lone outlier. Bill Clinton got his law degree from Yale, Barack Obama is J.D., Harvard. Donald Trump graduated from Penn. George Bush must've read a book or two while studying at Yale, and eventually completing an MBA from Harvard Business School. Odds are that the corruptocrat who works for Betsy and Arne is an Ivy Leaguer.

For better or worse, these people are key for "broad-based prosperity." People in the top few percent of  the IQ distribution, regardless of where they went to college, are responsible for the overwhelming majority of new science, technology, and social/political movements. Without them we'd all be as poor as church mice. 

Apples usually don't fall far from the tree. Children born into the top quintile are more likely to be: smart, healthy, beautiful, do well in school, come from intact families, excel at standardized exams, attend church, compete in science fair projects, and marry other people from the top quintile.

Children born into the bottom quintile are more likely to: fail in school, be unhealthy and perhaps obese, have substance abuse issues, come from single parent households, suffer from homelessness and hunger, get involved in crime, watch too much TV, and never get married. None of these problems will be fixed by going to college.

Seen this way, it is quite astonishing that Ivy League institutions can find 900 qualified students per year from the bottom 20%. They must work really hard at this--and even though I'm not necessarily a fan of social mobility, the fact that so many kids can be pulled out of poverty into the elite is inspiring. We should celebrate this, not deride it as a lack of educational opportunity. It is precisely not that.

Mr. Warner's second implicit assumption is that the interests of faculty and students largely coincide--that faculty invariably have students' welfare at heart. I don't blame him for thinking that way, for until I entered the administration I would've agreed with him.

I call it the lowest common denominator effect.

I used to teach general chemistry, a task I shared with three or four other people in my department. We agonized over textbooks, teaching methods, exams, etc. We worked hard to do right by our students, and I can say without hesitation that everybody on that team cared deeply for our pupils. Likewise, Mr. Warner and his colleagues are similarly passionate about English composition--and I'm sure they work just as hard.

But were Mr. Warner to ask me what textbook he should use, I'd have no clue. Similarly, I don't even really know what their pedagogical objective is: is it how to follow the MLA style manual? Or how to write a coherent paragraph? Or how to construct a grammatically correct sentence? Or merely an opportunity to get students to express ideas on paper, regardless of skillset? Even given the objective, I'd have no idea how to execute it in practice. Meanwhile, Mr. Warner is expert on all those issues--even though he probably couldn't do a simple titration if I put the equipment in front of him.

As a former dean of science & engineering, I was shocked to learn how differently the math department thought about instruction than did the chemistry faculty. Meanwhile, the geologists are fixated on problems posed by long camping trips, e.g., to the Grand Canyon, that our English colleagues might think of as junkets. I had some interaction with the fine arts faculty, and honestly, they live on a completely different planet.

Each of those faculties care deeply about what they do and work very hard at it. On that level, student interest and faculty interest largely correspond (though even there not completely). But when the professors get together--say at a general faculty meeting or as part of a union--what do they talk about?

How are we all gonna keep our jobs? Are we really gonna get the promised 2% raise this year? What constitutes a full time teaching load? Why do I have to work so hard? This is the lowest common denominator--it's the only stuff we're all concerned about.

It has nothing to do with students or teaching. The more faculty there are in a room, the less important the topics of discussion become. It justifies the old saw: nothing is less important than the agenda of a general faculty meeting.

Let me cite one especially egregious example. The college's general education (GE) requirements are subject to review and revision every ten years or so, and this is the responsibility of the faculty as a whole. The whole thing is a travesty, because the GE program is designed specifically to satisfy the lowest common denominator demands of the faculty. While lots of suggestions come forth that might actually benefit students, what comes out at the end is a turd.

Many years ago the college instituted a foreign language requirement--students were all obligated to take two years (four semesters) of foreign language instruction. Perhaps that made sense thirty years ago, but it's crazy today. Now we have cheap software (e.g., Rosetta Stone), cheap airfares (less than the cost of tuition), and Google Translate (for the incorrigibles who refuse to learn a language). Plus English is far and away the world's second language--it is surely the international language of tourism.

So while I think foreign languages are important, college classroom instruction in a language is no longer very useful--especially since students are rarely fluent even after four semesters (my impression is that many can't speak it at all). So the requirement really should be abolished!

I was not alone in my opinion, but doing that required laying off the folks who teach the classes, and this the lowest common denominator faculty refused to do. Admittedly, the language teachers would have had a very hard time finding another job (which says something about the importance of said instruction), and the proper solution is hard-hearted. So the language requirement persists to this very day--students' best interest be damned. They're still forced to waste their tuition money, and worse, their time. (My motto as dean became Never waste a student's time.)

As individuals, faculty are generous, idealistic, hardworking people. Collectively they're a bunch of selfish jerks. I learned that as dean, and my goal in that job was to push back against lowest common denominator policies. Needless to say, I wasn't very successful.

I could go on about Mr. Warner's book, but I won't. Let me close on a happier note.

For as much as I disagree with his book, I deeply admire him as a person. First, unlike us tenured sorts, he's earned an honest living, surviving only because he's very good at his job.

Second, his dedication is amazing. He could surely have chosen a higher-paying career, and yet he loves to teach. The world needs more people like that. If I were dean, I'd hire him in a heartbeat!

Finally, he really is a good writer. For as much as I wanted to throw my shoe through the TV set, I happily kept reading his book. It's very clear, passionate, occasionally funny, brutally honest--and completely wrong.

But read it anyway. It's worth your time. I went with the Kindle edition, which worked fine. As you'd expect from Mr. Warner, I didn't find a single typo.


Further Reading:

Monday, March 11, 2019

The Philippines

I just got back from a two week visit to the Philippines. Most of my time was spent in and near Metro Manila, but we did do some island hopping--to Cebu, Bohol, and Dumaguete.
My first visit to the country was in 1988, and the last time I was there was 1995. So it's been 24 years--and gosh, the country sure has changed! It's much richer than before.

Manila traffic is still awful, but it's not as bad as I recall from my previous trips. They have expanded rail transit significantly. Just as important, they have built out the expressway and toll road system around Manila. The famous boulevard--Epifanio de los Santos Avenue, known universally by its initials, EDSA--has been converted to a full-fledged expressway. That cuts the heart out of the city, but it has hugely improved traffic flow.

EDSA, you may recall, was the site of the mass demonstrations that overthrew the Marcos dictatorship in 1986. The date, February 25th, is celebrated as Revolution Day and is a national holiday. EDSA today could not host such an event--it would be like holding a mass rally on the Dan Ryan Expressway. I'm not real clear where a revolution today might happen. Rizal Park? Triangle Park in Makati? Roxas Blvd? I'd vote for the latter.

Manila used to be very polluted--everybody wore face masks. I'd end each day with my nose, eyes and ears filled with diesel dust. Today this is much improved, largely because the country is gradually banning the diesel-burning, smoke-spewing jeepneys. These iconic vehicles are being replaced by less attractive but much cleaner, gasoline powered minibuses.
Filipino Jeepney (Source)

They've also banned smoking! There is no smoking in any mall, store, or restaurant. Indeed, apparently it's illegal to smoke on the street--I didn't see anybody doing it. I did see the occasional Jeepney driver lighting up.

Apart from the rail system (which I never used) public transit in the country is all privately owned and operated, beginning with the Jeepneys or their replacements. Bus lines are private, as are all the ferry boats. The latter are clean, punctual, safe, and cheap. Domestic air travel is also cheap, the result of competition between Philippine Airlines and Cebu Pacific. The toll roads are privately operated--I'm not sure who owns them or how the right-of-way was procured. They are in good shape, but the tolls are pretty steep. Accordingly there isn't too much traffic, and most users are trucks, buses and other commercial vehicles. By contrast, publicly-owned EDSA (which is not tolled) is a parking lot for much of the day.

Approximately 25% of all Filipinos are part of the global poor. The definition roughly corresponds to the United Nation's--less than $3/day. That means 75% of the country has moved into the global middle class, i.e., possesses some discretionary income.

Grab drivers (the Filipino equivalent of Uber) earn about $15/day (net of expenses). I think store clerks are paid similarly (there are a lot of them!). That's enough money to occasionally eat in a fast food restaurant, buy toys or cosmetics, or once in awhile take a day off and go to the beach. On the other hand, one of my wife's relatives is the director of a large Catholic school (more CEO than principal)--she earns $2,000 per month.

My wife grew up in a rural barangay ("village," or "neighborhood") 100 km south of Manila, known to locals by its initials: GKBB. It consists of a single road, lined on both sides by large, mostly unoccupied houses. The story of who built, owns, and occasionally lives in those houses is the story of the Philippine economy.

The country produces no industrial exports. Agricultural land is in short supply, and used mostly for local consumption. Regards services, since English is widely spoken many work in call centers, assisting American customers. Finally there is tourism--mostly oriented around beaches and diving.

By all rights the Philippines should be a very poor country--rather like Haiti--foreign exchange coming only from low-grade services and tourism. But it's much richer than that. It's because they export people.

One third of the world's seafarers are Filipino (source). Filipinos are favored employees for cruise lines--they're 60% of the crew on Royal Caribbean vessels (source).

While unskilled labor in the Persian Gulf comes mostly from India and Pakistan, the skilled trades and mid-level engineering jobs are held mostly by Filipinos. My wife's cousin spent 20 years in Saudi Arabia, before coming home to live off the proceeds.

Thousands of Filipina women work as domestics in Hong Kong and Singapore. Hong Kong's infamous yayas (nannies) lead very hard lives, as they do also in Singapore. The movie Ilo Ilo movingly relates the story of a yaya in Singapore. Filipinas by the tens of thousands staff brothels throughout East Asia and Australia.

In the United States Filipinos are concentrated in health professions--all the way from orderly to cardiac surgeon. You will also find them in engineering and hospitality jobs. The Filipino population in the US is estimated to be around 3.4 million (source).

The Philippine diaspora is truly global. My wife, children and I spent a year in Uganda--and sure enough we found a thriving community of several hundred Filipinos already there.

All those people send money home--money that's used to build fancy houses in their ancestral home towns such as GKBB, which they'll occupy when they visit or retire. In the meantime they sit mostly empty.

Of course this works--as long as the global economy grows, the Philippine economy grows with it. It's obviously grown like gangbusters since 1995--that's why the country is so much richer today than in 1995.

The precondition for the business model is that the Philippines has enough people to export. And sure enough, it has the highest fertility rate in East Asia. About 37% of the population in the central Visayas (Cebu) is below 10 years old (source). Filipinos are rightly proud of their shopping malls, but the biggest difference between those and malls in the US is this: In the Philippines they have lots of babies, while in the United States they have lots of baby boomers. (It's an added bonus for the tourist since Filipino children are crazy cute!) The Philippines is today a lifeline to places like Japan and South Korea, peoples so obsessed with birth control that they can't even reproduce themselves.

While the Filipino fertility rate is still about 3.0 (source), it is down from 3.5 in 2000 (source). A continuation of that trend spells disaster for the country--you can't export people if you don't have any. Without people, the country becomes as poor as Haiti.

But, being optimistic, let's hope they maintain their birth rates. Then the future belongs to the Filipino. And that's not a bad future. Not bad at all.

This isn't a travel blog. Still, here are a few pics from my trip.
Momo Beach on Panglao Island. Cebu Island is visible in the distance.
Manila Bay and city skyline--from our hotel (TRYP at Mall of Asia).
Cross of the Holy Child--Magellan's Cross in Cebu
Magellan was killed fighting for King Humabon against the Lapu-Lapu on neighboring Mactan Island.
The Chocolate Hills, Bohol

Further Reading:

Friday, January 4, 2019

Socialist Action's Fund Raising Appeal


Reproduced from Socialist Action, December 31, 2018
My friends over at Socialist Action (SA) are very coy about their membership, and so I grab at any opportunity to learn something about them. Fortunately for me a recently posted fund-raising appeal included this informative photo. It's not a random sample, but it will have to do.

The demographics are much younger than I expected. Surely a similar pic from the Socialist Workers Party would feature baby boomers. SA, at least, can collect enough millennials together in one place to make a group portrait. That is an achievement--though I suppose with rising socialist stars like Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, perhaps it shouldn't be all that surprising.

The group's agenda is nothing if not ambitious: they want to cool the planet, free Mumia, liberate women, organize hotel workers, and tear down the walls at America's southern border.

Not to mention:
Simultaneously, we have deepened our participation in the campaign to build an international party along revolutionary Leninist lines, collaborating in the Platform for a Revolutionary International with our comrades abroad. Together with our European co-thinkers, Socialist Action delegates spoke on behalf of the Platform at the 17th World Congress of the Fourth International.
The banner tells us nothing about any of those efforts--instead it strikes me as ultraleft. Back in the day when I was a Trotskyist we avoided public slogans that made us seem out of touch with reality. Apparently these young comrades are not as familiar with the Transitional Program as we supposedly were. This is the kind of banner that the Workers League or the Progressive Labor Party might have unfurled.

But back to demographics--the picture includes six men and three women. All are white but for one of the women, who looks to me like she might be South Asian. This pretty much is the way I remember the old YSA--male by a ratio of 2 to 1. And white (disproportionately Jewish) with a few "people of color" mixed in.

Something else hasn't changed, either: these comrades are dressed just as shabbily as we were back in the 1970s. While I think our hair was longer, and perhaps there were more beads, I don't think there'd be much to distinguish us versus them in a photograph. I'm embarrassed to think about it now. I'd have been so much more successful in life if I'd paid just a little bit of attention to my appearance.

It appears that only the lady on the left has any self-esteem at all. The two gentlemen on the right look like losers. The remainder mostly hide behind the banner, but they don't seem any more fashionable than the others--though perhaps the man in the middle, with the careful coiffure, is an exception.

Poor grooming doesn't make you look proletarian. No--it just makes you look incompetent. Compare our comrades with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, who is nothing if not fashionable. Whose party would you rather join?

Socialist Action, like all socialists, expounds at great length about how badly off the working class is. We're under constant attack, our standard of living is going down, the ruling class is perpetually trying to find way to make us poorer, the environment is dirtier than ever, and we're beset with myriad capitalist ills such as racism, war, and transphobia.

So no wonder they chose a desolate bit of commercial landscape for the photo-op: cracked pavement in a parking lot, bare trees, and is that snow in the background? In the distance I spy what might be a church--that very symbol of false consciousness. The store behind them looks like a supermarket--a cornucopia of fresh fruits and vegetables from around the world available to average people in a working-class neighborhood at cheap prices--which to socialists is nothing more than evidence of environmental destruction.

Sadly, the careful framing includes one little detail that betrays the constant litany of doom and gloom. You can see it clearly--it says "24 Hours." Why those conniving capitalists! In their efforts to impoverish us all, they can't help but keep their store open 24/7. Just so that comrades--after an arduous branch meeting--can drop by and pick up some snacks or a six-pack on their way home.

In Cuba and Venezuela they've done away with such extravagances--there stores are open for twelve hours per week, assuming they have anything to sell. And if they really do have something in stock the line outside goes around the block. Now that's the revolutionary spirit our comrades think is good for us all.

I think my friends have told us more about themselves than they intended.

Further Reading: